TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13032517
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
1.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311117911119311
Jan Hrabec
Away
2.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Jan Hrabec below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 86 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 60.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 0–2 Jan Hrabec Tomas Milota has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Milota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Milota 1473 vs Hrabec 1621
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 40% vs Hrabec 80%
Hrabec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 50% vs Hrabec 80%
Hrabec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota +1 · Hrabec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Milota) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 1.63 / Hrabec 2.13
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Milota)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13032517
Milota1.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 28 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it58% 19 of 33
Hrabec2.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 24 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMilota0wins
AwayHrabec2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderHrabec leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMilotaHrabecM − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match44.046.5−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 284 vs 142 / 25645.8%55.5%130 / 284 vs 142 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilotaMilota 1.63/Hrabec 2.13
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Milota · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 21:30T. Milota—31191132J. Hrabec—117119113
LAug 27 · 19:00T. Milota—911111192J. Hrabec—111372113
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113
J. Hrabec10
LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:00J. Hrabec1.441211113M. Blejchar2.6310660WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142WSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152LAug 27 · 20:00L. Velicka1.57128118113J. Hrabec2.25101181142WAug 27 · 19:00T. Milota1.73911111192J. Hrabec2.00111372113
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