TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076619
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Hrabec
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116116––––
Marek Blejchar
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hrabec above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-4
Point 34 set 2, 8-4 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 57.8%
34 points drawn · the score is 22 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Hrabec 6–4 Marek Blejchar Marek Blejchar has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrabec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Hrabec
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1570 vs Blejchar 1543
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Blejchar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 70% vs Blejchar 50%
Hrabec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +2 · Blejchar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.44 / Blejchar 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Hrabec)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076619
Hrabec1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Blejchar2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabec6wins
AwayBlejchar4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHrabec leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabec80%4 of 5
AwayBlejchar60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S2Hrabec6Blejchar4n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S3Hrabec7Blejchar3n = 10Hrabec took 7 of 10
S4Hrabec4Blejchar4n = 8split evenly
S5Hrabec2Blejchar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabecBlejcharH − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.435.5+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 252 vs 310 / 64855.6%47.8%140 / 252 vs 310 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.44/Blejchar 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 15:30J. Hrabec—111183M. Blejchar—7640
WAug 7 · 21:28J. Hrabec—11711113M. Blejchar—211981
WAug 7 · 19:00J. Hrabec—771111113M. Blejchar—11118552
LJul 28 · 09:00J. Hrabec—1461181M. Blejchar—16119113
WJul 28 · 07:30J. Hrabec—1111113M. Blejchar—5850
WJul 21 · 09:30J. Hrabec—911511133M. Blejchar—117113112
LJul 21 · 07:00J. Hrabec—71111982M. Blejchar—119411113
LMar 25 · 20:00J. Hrabec—111111692M. Blejchar—136611113
LMar 1 · 16:30J. Hrabec—1175111M. Blejchar—61111133
WFeb 27 · 20:00J. Hrabec—11115113M. Blejchar—291141
J. Hrabec10
LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142WSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WAug 27 · 21:30T. Milota1.6331191132J. Hrabec2.13117119113LAug 27 · 20:00L. Velicka1.57128118113J. Hrabec2.25101181142WAug 27 · 19:00T. Milota1.73911111192J. Hrabec2.00111372113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.