TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13032518
Played Aug 27Finished
Lukas Velicka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81113114111210911
Petr Osvald
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLukas Velicka above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11
100 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Velicka 2–2 Petr Osvald Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Velicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelicka 1.67 / Osvald 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Velicka)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13032518
Velicka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 37 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Osvald2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 29 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVelicka2wins
AwayOsvald2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVelickan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOsvald66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Velicka1Osvald3n = 4Osvald took 3 of 4
S2Velicka2Osvald2n = 4split evenly
S3Velicka2Osvald2n = 4split evenly
S4Velicka3Osvald1n = 4Velicka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVelickaOsvaldV − OBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.841.2+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelickaOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 181 vs 99 / 20251.9%49%94 / 181 vs 99 / 202Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelickaVelicka 1.67/Osvald 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Velicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 27 · 19:30L. Velicka—911811113P. Osvald—11911772
WApr 24 · 13:30L. Velicka—111110113P. Osvald—961251
LApr 24 · 11:30L. Velicka—410111162P. Osvald—111276113
LApr 22 · 10:00L. Velicka—2811111P. Osvald—11116133
L. Velicka10
LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790LSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113WSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981LSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:30J. Levicky1.44641161L. Velicka2.6311115113WAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.91591111102L. Velicka1.80111167123
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113LAug 27 · 20:30T. Milota1.611111123P. Osvald2.2064100LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
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