TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082599
Played Sep 6Finished
David Mikula
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111012––––
Matyas Kolek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Matyas Kolek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.9%
59 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:51What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mikula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1364 vs Kolek 1334
Mikula
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 20% vs Kolek 40%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 40% vs Kolek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -3 · Kolek -1
Mikula
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mikula) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.50 / Kolek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Mikula)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082599
Mikula1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 40 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Kolek2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 39 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 366 vs 117 / 22746.5%51.5%170 / 366 vs 117 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaMikula 1.50/Kolek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Mikula10
LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113LAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113WAug 28 · 15:30F. Zurek2.507101181D. Mikula1.5011123113
M. Kolek10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152LSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek1.906580F. Zurek1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek2.2512114123F. Zurek1.5710811101LAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332WAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282LAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432LAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133LAug 29 · 07:00M. Kolek2.008990F. Zurek1.731111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.