TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091537
Played Sep 8Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111311116119––
Alexandr Virag
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexandr Virag to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Alexandr Virag below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Alexandr Virag at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 13–17 Alexandr Virag Filip Zurek has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Virag
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-17 in 30
Virag
Wrong
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1499 vs Virag 1328
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Virag 40%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Virag 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +2 · Virag -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Virag form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.83 / Virag 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zurek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091537
Zurek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Virag1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek6wins
AwayVirag4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek33.3%1 of 3
AwayVirag28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek3Virag7n = 10Virag took 7 of 10
S2Zurek8Virag2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S3Zurek5Virag5n = 10split evenly
S4Zurek4Virag4n = 8split evenly
S5Zurek4Virag3n = 7Zurek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekViragZ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.540.5+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekViragBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 579 vs 134 / 28350.3%47.4%291 / 579 vs 134 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.83/Virag 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 07:30F. Zurek—61141272A. Virag—1141110113
WJun 26 · 13:00F. Zurek—911117113A. Virag—11541182
WJun 26 · 10:00F. Zurek—915911113A. Virag—111311982
WJun 19 · 06:00F. Zurek—1111113A. Virag—7930
WJun 16 · 12:00F. Zurek—61111113A. Virag—117771
LJun 8 · 09:08F. Zurek—117117112A. Virag—111311133
WJun 8 · 08:30F. Zurek—1312611163A. Virag—1510114142
LJun 6 · 10:00F. Zurek—121110772A. Virag—1051211113
LJun 5 · 12:00F. Zurek—8650A. Virag—1111113
WJun 2 · 13:30F. Zurek—711136113A. Virag—111111172
F. Zurek10
LSep 8 · 12:00M. Kolek2.101111113F. Zurek1.675440WSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540
A. Virag10
WSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143LAug 22 · 08:30M. Kolek2.101111113A. Virag1.679760WAug 22 · 07:30A. Virag2.001141110113F. Zurek1.7361141272WAug 22 · 06:30T. Hrabec1.408101121A. Virag2.7511127113LAug 12 · 13:30A. Virag1.5596111172M. Kolek2.20111199113
Upcoming Matches
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