TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092878
Played Sep 8Finished
Matyas Kolek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114114––––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatyas Kolek above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 46 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Filip Zurek at 57.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Kolek 7–8 Filip Zurek Matyas Kolek has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1370 vs Zurek 1524
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Zurek 80%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Zurek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Zurek +4
Zurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zurek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.10 / Zurek 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zurek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092878
Kolek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 41 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Zurek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 90 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 68 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek5wins
AwayZurek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek50%2 of 4
AwayZurek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S2Kolek5Zurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolek1Zurek9n = 10Zurek took 9 of 10
S4Kolek6Zurek2n = 8Kolek took 6 of 8
S5Kolek3Zurek1n = 4Kolek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekZurekK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.2−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 229 vs 293 / 58151.5%50.4%118 / 229 vs 293 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekKolek 2.10/Zurek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek—1211711113F. Zurek—14611952
LAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek—6580F. Zurek—1111113
WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek—12114123F. Zurek—10811101
LAug 29 · 07:00M. Kolek—8990F. Zurek—1111113
LAug 22 · 06:00M. Kolek—85111182F. Zurek—111174113
WJun 5 · 11:30M. Kolek—311711113F. Zurek—11711692
LApr 19 · 12:00M. Kolek—11101071F. Zurek—81212113
LApr 16 · 11:00M. Kolek—119991F. Zurek—81111113
WApr 15 · 06:00M. Kolek—10231011113F. Zurek—122112782
WApr 14 · 12:00M. Kolek—11117113F. Zurek—971131
M. Kolek10
LSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461WSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152LSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952WSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek1.906580F. Zurek1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek2.2512114123F. Zurek1.5710811101LAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332WAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282
F. Zurek10
WSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173WSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek1.906580F. Zurek1.801111113LAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek2.2512114123F. Zurek1.5710811101
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek
Nothing scheduled
F. Zurek
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