TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086675
Played Sep 7Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711118511––
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Roman Guliak at 58.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 15–19 Marek Blejchar Roman Guliak has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1568 vs Blejchar 1532
Guliak
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 80% vs Blejchar 60%
Guliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 70% vs Blejchar 50%
Guliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak +3 · Blejchar +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.20 / Blejchar 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Blejchar)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13086675
Guliak2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Blejchar1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 91 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 56 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak5wins
AwayBlejchar5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak60%3 of 5
AwayBlejchar60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S2Guliak4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S3Guliak3Blejchar7n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S4Guliak4Blejchar3n = 7Guliak took 4 of 7
S5Guliak3Blejchar1n = 4Guliak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakBlejcharG − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.0−4.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 684 vs 315 / 66050.6%47.7%346 / 684 vs 315 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharGuliak 2.20/Blejchar 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak—139114113M. Blejchar—111191162
LSep 5 · 16:30R. Guliak—3190M. Blejchar—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:00R. Guliak—481111113M. Blejchar—11119872
LAug 8 · 11:30R. Guliak—513111192M. Blejchar—1111138113
LAug 7 · 18:30R. Guliak—118581M. Blejchar—71111113
LMay 18 · 18:00R. Guliak—1113771M. Blejchar—41511113
WMay 16 · 19:00R. Guliak—811513113M. Blejchar—117111192
WMay 11 · 16:58R. Guliak—1111113M. Blejchar—4580
LMay 11 · 14:00R. Guliak—3720M. Blejchar—1111113
WMay 10 · 10:30R. Guliak—12115113M. Blejchar—1091191
R. Guliak10
LSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100WSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113WSep 7 · 11:30M. Blejchar1.91991111113O. Hradil1.8011118842LSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190
Upcoming Matches
R. Guliak
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M. Blejchar
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