TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087524
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116611911––
Marek Blejchar
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr Osvald at 66.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 18–7 Marek Blejchar Marek Blejchar has won 7 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-7 in 25
Osvald
Wrong
gap of 11 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1444 vs Blejchar 1503
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Blejchar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Blejchar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald -2 · Blejchar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.53 / Blejchar 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Osvald)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087524
Osvald1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 40 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Blejchar2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 63 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back14% 13 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsvald7wins
AwayBlejchar3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOsvald leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald83.3%5 of 6
AwayBlejchar50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald6Blejchar4n = 10Osvald took 6 of 10
S2Osvald3Blejchar7n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S3Osvald5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S4Osvald8Blejchar2n = 10Osvald took 8 of 10
S5Osvald3Blejchar1n = 4Osvald took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsvaldBlejcharO − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.137.4+6.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 213 vs 313 / 65848.8%47.6%104 / 213 vs 313 / 658Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.53/Blejchar 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.3%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald—13116113M. Blejchar—1141171
WSep 5 · 15:00P. Osvald—1181111113M. Blejchar—41113332
LJul 27 · 08:30P. Osvald—113991M. Blejchar—51111113
WJul 23 · 19:30P. Osvald—111311113M. Blejchar—415671
WJun 9 · 06:00P. Osvald—4121111133M. Blejchar—111456112
LMay 16 · 14:00P. Osvald—911681M. Blejchar—11511113
WApr 30 · 19:30P. Osvald—10121111113M. Blejchar—12147862
LApr 26 · 15:00P. Osvald—109111142M. Blejchar—121183113
WApr 24 · 12:30P. Osvald—11811113M. Blejchar—311691
WMar 14 · 22:06P. Osvald—111111113M. Blejchar—461381
P. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100LSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123LSep 7 · 10:00O. Hradil1.57115118113P. Osvald2.2591151182WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100WSep 7 · 11:30M. Blejchar1.91991111113O. Hradil1.8011118842LSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Osvald
Nothing scheduled
M. Blejchar
Sep 7 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.61R. Guliak2.20—Sep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.25V. Cerny1.57—Sep 7 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.67P. Hanel2.10—Sep 8 · 14:00M. Blejchar1.83P. Hanel1.83—Sep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.00M. Koral1.73—Sep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.67I. Taichman2.10—Sep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.43M. Jasek2.60—Sep 8 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.45P. Varecha2.60—Sep 8 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.40V. Bosak2.75—
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