TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087395
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1198118111012––
Pavel Chovanec
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Chovanec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Pavel Chovanec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Pavel Chovanec at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 0–1 Pavel Chovanec Petr Osvald has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chovanec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1454 vs Chovanec 1517
Chovanec
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Chovanec 60%
Chovanec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 50% vs Chovanec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald -1 · Chovanec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chovanec) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 2.20 / Chovanec 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Chovanec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087395
Osvald2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Chovanec1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite41% won 7 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOsvald0wins
AwayChovanec1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderChovanec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOsvaldChovanecO − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.050.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldChovanecBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 212 vs 17 / 4149.1%41.5%104 / 212 vs 17 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChovanecOsvald 2.20/Chovanec 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Chovanec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chovanec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 20 · 06:00P. Osvald—73111192P. Chovanec—111198113
P. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 10:00O. Hradil1.57115118113P. Osvald2.2591151182WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113
P. Chovanec10
LSep 7 · 12:00O. Hradil2.0014112123P. Chovanec1.7312511101WSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LJun 18 · 17:30J. Levicky1.7311212113P. Chovanec2.006111061WJun 18 · 16:00P. Danko1.831167111P. Chovanec1.8391111133LJun 18 · 15:00J. Levicky2.251111113P. Chovanec1.574860WJun 18 · 14:30P. Chovanec2.501411113V. Zidek1.5012780WJun 11 · 17:00P. Chovanec1.401111113D. Oborny2.757380LJun 11 · 16:00S. Kysely1.8015124113P. Chovanec1.9113101191LJun 11 · 15:00M. Heczko1.73111012113P. Chovanec2.008121091WJun 11 · 14:30P. Chovanec1.44111011123D. Oborny2.638127101
Upcoming Matches
P. Osvald
P. Chovanec
Nothing scheduled
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