TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12017524
Played Jun 11Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11810121210119––
Pavel Chovanec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Pavel Chovanec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9
83 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 2–1 Pavel Chovanec Pavel Chovanec has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.73 / Chovanec 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Heczko)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12017524
Heczko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 50 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Chovanec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 7 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHeczko2wins
AwayChovanec1wins
Heczko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko2Chovanec1n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S2Heczko2Chovanec1n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S3Heczko2Chovanec1n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHeczkoChovanecH − CBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.731.3+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoChovanecBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 463 vs 42 / 9147.1%46.2%218 / 463 vs 42 / 91Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.73/Chovanec 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 23 · 21:30M. Heczko—11911113P. Chovanec—611761
LMay 23 · 18:30M. Heczko—9118101P. Chovanec—11211123
WApr 25 · 08:00M. Heczko—1213113P. Chovanec—101170
M. Heczko10
LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110
P. Chovanec10
LSep 7 · 12:00O. Hradil2.0014112123P. Chovanec1.7312511101WSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123WSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LJun 18 · 17:30J. Levicky1.7311212113P. Chovanec2.006111061WJun 18 · 16:00P. Danko1.831167111P. Chovanec1.8391111133LJun 18 · 15:00J. Levicky2.251111113P. Chovanec1.574860WJun 18 · 14:30P. Chovanec2.501411113V. Zidek1.5012780WJun 11 · 17:00P. Chovanec1.401111113D. Oborny2.757380LJun 11 · 16:00S. Kysely1.8015124113P. Chovanec1.9113101191WJun 11 · 14:30P. Chovanec1.44111011123D. Oborny2.638127101
Upcoming Matches
M. Heczko1 of 4 neutral
P. Chovanec
Nothing scheduled
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