TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087563
Played Sep 7Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211411––––
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 61.3%
46 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 4–9 Vojtech Cerny Marek Blejchar has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Cerny
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1545 vs Cerny 1566
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 80% vs Cerny 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 60% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +4 · Cerny +1
Blejchar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 2.25 / Cerny 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Cerny)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087563
Blejchar2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 63 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back14% 13 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Cerny1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it67% 22 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar4wins
AwayCerny6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCerny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar60%3 of 5
AwayCerny80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar5Cerny5n = 10split evenly
S2Blejchar5Cerny5n = 10split evenly
S3Blejchar5Cerny5n = 10split evenly
S4Blejchar4Cerny4n = 8split evenly
S5Blejchar1Cerny3n = 4Cerny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharCernyB − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.7−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 661 vs 45 / 9547.8%47.4%316 / 661 vs 45 / 95Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyBlejchar 2.25/Cerny 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 20:00M. Blejchar—11117121V. Cerny—13711143
LSep 3 · 07:30M. Blejchar—61271192V. Cerny—1110115113
WAug 22 · 17:29M. Blejchar—11117113V. Cerny—481181
LAug 22 · 16:30M. Blejchar—11391192V. Cerny—811117113
WJul 29 · 12:58M. Blejchar—111111123V. Cerny—5139101
WJul 29 · 12:00M. Blejchar—1111113V. Cerny—7350
WJul 21 · 06:00M. Blejchar—911114133V. Cerny—118511112
LJul 10 · 16:58M. Blejchar—7880V. Cerny—1111113
LJul 10 · 16:30M. Blejchar—181541V. Cerny—111113113
LJun 13 · 19:00M. Blejchar—11911792V. Cerny—811711113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113WSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100WSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113WSep 7 · 11:30M. Blejchar1.91991111113O. Hradil1.8011118842LSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181
V. Cerny10
WSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992WSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113
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