TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087558
Played Sep 7Finished
Patrik Hanel
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911115711––
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timePatrik Hanel to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatrik Hanel above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Patrik Hanel at 63.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Hanel 1–1 Marek Blejchar Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hanel 1543 vs Blejchar 1532
Hanel
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanel 80% vs Blejchar 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanel 60% vs Blejchar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanel +1 · Blejchar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanel 2.10 / Blejchar 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Blejchar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087558
Hanel2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Blejchar1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 91 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 56 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHanel1wins
AwayBlejchar1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHanelBlejcharH − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.046.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanelBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 106 vs 316 / 66249.1%47.7%52 / 106 vs 316 / 662Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharHanel 2.10/Blejchar 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel—151194103M. Blejchar—139111162
LAug 28 · 18:30P. Hanel—1141171M. Blejchar—13117113
P. Hanel10
WSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880WSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110LSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100WSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113WSep 7 · 11:30M. Blejchar1.91991111113O. Hradil1.8011118842LSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162
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