TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086673
Played Sep 7Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1614116116––––
Patrik Hanel
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 64 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 56.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 1–1 Patrik Hanel Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hanel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1553 vs Hanel 1542
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 80% vs Hanel 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 80% vs Hanel 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny -1 · Hanel +3
Hanel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cerny) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.83 / Hanel 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cerny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086673
Cerny1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Hanel1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCerny1wins
AwayHanel1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricCernyHanelC − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match28.526.5+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 94 vs 51 / 10446.8%49%44 / 94 vs 51 / 104Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.83/Hanel 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 13 · 21:00V. Cerny—95100P. Hanel—1111123
WAug 13 · 18:30V. Cerny—1111113P. Hanel—6850
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261WAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman1.57811871P. Hanel2.2511911113
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