TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040762
Played Aug 30Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119311116119––
Radim Kvasnicka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:07 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Radim Kvasnicka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 54.4%
71 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 4–9 Radim Kvasnicka Filip Zurek has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kvasnicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Kvasnicka
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1423 vs Kvasnicka 1436
Kvasnicka
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 20% vs Kvasnicka 60%
Kvasnicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Kvasnicka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -4 · Kvasnicka +2
Zurek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kvasnicka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.25 / Kvasnicka 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040762
Zurek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 114 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back31% 40 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 63
Kvasnicka1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 26 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek3wins
AwayKvasnicka7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKvasnicka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek50%3 of 6
AwayKvasnicka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek6Kvasnicka4n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S2Zurek3Kvasnicka7n = 10Kvasnicka took 7 of 10
S3Zurek5Kvasnicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Zurek3Kvasnicka6n = 9Kvasnicka took 6 of 9
S5Zurek1Kvasnicka2n = 3Kvasnicka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekKvasnickaZ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.042.1−4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekKvasnickaBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 563 vs 57 / 10850.3%52.8%283 / 563 vs 57 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaZurek 2.25/Kvasnicka 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek—11311113R. Kvasnicka—911691
LAug 29 · 06:30F. Zurek—10134131R. Kvasnicka—121111153
WAug 23 · 09:04F. Zurek—124911133R. Kvasnicka—1011117112
LAug 23 · 06:00F. Zurek—1151141R. Kvasnicka—13114113
WMay 31 · 08:30F. Zurek—1212113R. Kvasnicka—101090
LMay 10 · 17:29F. Zurek—411861R. Kvasnicka—11711113
LMay 10 · 14:30F. Zurek—451181R. Kvasnicka—11118113
LFeb 22 · 14:30F. Zurek—11914492R. Kvasnicka—6111211113
LFeb 22 · 11:30F. Zurek—111012101R. Kvasnicka—31214123
LDec 30 · 22:25F. Zurek—11571182R. Kvasnicka—711117103
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
R. Kvasnicka10
WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332WAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432WAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133LAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:30F. Zurek2.1010134131R. Kvasnicka1.67121111153LAug 23 · 09:04R. Kvasnicka1.531011117112F. Zurek2.38124911133LAug 23 · 08:30R. Kvasnicka1.73713111122D. Priesol2.00111540113LAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
Upcoming Matches
F. Zurek1 of 1 neutral
R. Kvasnicka
Nothing scheduled
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