TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434203
Played Aug 15Finished
Dalibor Kolek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12141012611––––
Jaroslav Peter
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalibor Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDalibor Kolek above · Jaroslav Peter below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 65 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Dalibor Kolek at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Kolek 1–1 Jaroslav Peter Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1251 vs Peter 1331
Peter
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 40% vs Peter 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 20% vs Peter 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -3 · Peter +2
Kolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.73 / Peter 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434203
Kolek1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Peter2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 5 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolek1wins
AwayPeter1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKolekPeterK − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.037.5−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekPeterBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 28 vs 35 / 9532.1%36.8%9 / 28 vs 35 / 95Avg sets wonper match1.51.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.73/Peter 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Peter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek—121060J. Peter—1412113
WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek—11126113J. Peter—8101191
D. Kolek10
LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143LAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky1.801112103D. Kolek1.9161090LAug 15 · 14:00D. Kolek2.1061170M. Kolek1.671113113LAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191WAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123
J. Peter10
WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:30D. Tyn2.2511114582J. Peter1.57791111113WAug 28 · 18:00J. Peter2.1061111123Z. Zientek1.671178101LAug 15 · 17:28J. Peter2.633101161M. Levicky1.4411127103WAug 15 · 15:00M. Kolek1.73391181J. Peter2.001111793WAug 15 · 14:30J. Peter2.631061111113M. Levicky1.4412118782LAug 14 · 21:00J. Peter1.8311117852A. Schneeberger1.83741111113LAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191LAug 14 · 19:00M. Kolek1.801111143J. Peter1.9186120
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