TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030399
Played Aug 28Finished
Dalibor Kolek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121141171210––
Daniel Tyn
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalibor Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Kolek above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Dalibor Kolek at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:22What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1251 vs Tyn 1307
Tyn
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 20% vs Tyn 80%
Tyn
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 30% vs Tyn 50%
Tyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +1 · Tyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.80 / Tyn 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030399
Kolek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tyn1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 38 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekTynBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 28 vs 128 / 28032.1%45.7%9 / 28 vs 128 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.80/Tyn 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Kolek10
LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143LAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113LAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky1.801112103D. Kolek1.9161090LAug 15 · 14:00D. Kolek2.1061170M. Kolek1.671113113LAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191WAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152
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