TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087425
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Kaspar
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118811116911411
Daniel Tyn
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kaspar above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 90 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Daniel Tyn at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kaspar 10–9 Daniel Tyn Daniel Tyn has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaspar 1225 vs Tyn 1334
Tyn
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaspar 40% vs Tyn 60%
Tyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaspar 40% vs Tyn 60%
Tyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaspar +2 · Tyn -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaspar form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaspar 1.83 / Tyn 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tyn)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087425
Kaspar1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Tyn1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaspar5wins
AwayTyn5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaspar66.7%4 of 6
AwayTyn75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaspar6Tyn4n = 10Kaspar took 6 of 10
S2Kaspar4Tyn6n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S3Kaspar4Tyn6n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S4Kaspar2Tyn5n = 7Tyn took 5 of 7
S5Kaspar4Tyn2n = 6Kaspar took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasparTynK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.340.7−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasparTynBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 167 vs 134 / 28743.7%46.7%73 / 167 vs 134 / 287Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TynKaspar 1.83/Tyn 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar—11811942D. Tyn—811611113
LAug 30 · 11:00M. Kaspar—91191152D. Tyn—115115113
LAug 17 · 10:00M. Kaspar—119891D. Tyn—71111113
LAug 13 · 06:30M. Kaspar—12890D. Tyn—1411113
WAug 6 · 08:30M. Kaspar—711511113D. Tyn—11911982
WJul 19 · 14:30M. Kaspar—1111113D. Tyn—9690
WMar 29 · 10:00M. Kaspar—111177113D. Tyn—98111192
LMar 26 · 13:00M. Kaspar—1110110D. Tyn—1312133
WMar 23 · 12:00M. Kaspar—116114113D. Tyn—61181192
WMar 22 · 10:00M. Kaspar—119117113D. Tyn—41151172
M. Kaspar10
LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 18 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.83881131Z. Zientek1.8311118113LAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113WAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152WAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
Upcoming Matches
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D. Tyn
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