TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12448145
Played Aug 18Finished
Matej Levicky
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191210711611117
Michal Kaspar
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Kaspar to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Michal Kaspar at 57.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 2–0 Michal Kaspar Michal Kaspar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1294 vs Kaspar 1300
Kaspar
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 0% vs Kaspar 60%
Kaspar
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 30% vs Kaspar 50%
Kaspar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -5 · Kaspar +2
Levicky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.80 / Kaspar 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Levicky)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12448145
Levicky1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 73 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Kaspar1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 22 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLevicky2wins
AwayKaspar0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevicky leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLevickyKasparL − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match49.547.5+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 365 vs 82 / 18753.2%43.9%194 / 365 vs 82 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.80/Kaspar 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky—111276113M. Kaspar—910111172
WAug 11 · 06:30M. Levicky—1211126113M. Kaspar—103141192
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152
M. Kaspar10
LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 18 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.83881131Z. Zientek1.8311118113WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113WAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101
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