TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087365
Played Sep 7Finished
Vojtech Kocian
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118411911119711
Matej Levicky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:40 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 56.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 7–5 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kocian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Kocian
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1365 vs Levicky 1212
Kocian
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 80% vs Levicky 0%
Kocian
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 80% vs Levicky 10%
Kocian
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian +1 · Levicky -5
Levicky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocian) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.73 / Levicky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocian)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087365
Kocian1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Levicky2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocian6wins
AwayLevicky4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKocian leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian71.4%5 of 7
AwayLevicky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian7Levicky3n = 10Kocian took 7 of 10
S2Kocian3Levicky7n = 10Levicky took 7 of 10
S3Kocian5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S4Kocian3Levicky4n = 7Levicky took 4 of 7
S5Kocian3Levicky1n = 4Kocian took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocianLevickyK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.2+1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 166 vs 195 / 37552.4%52%87 / 166 vs 195 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.73/Levicky 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian—511119113M. Levicky—11541152
LJul 6 · 20:00V. Kocian—7720M. Levicky—1111113
WJun 14 · 07:00V. Kocian—11612113M. Levicky—7111081
WJun 5 · 21:30V. Kocian—11715113M. Levicky—6111381
LJun 5 · 18:00V. Kocian—111010101M. Levicky—61212123
LApr 11 · 18:00V. Kocian—111169112M. Levicky—721111133
WApr 5 · 12:00V. Kocian—129114113M. Levicky—101181182
LMar 22 · 21:30V. Kocian—5860M. Levicky—1111113
WMar 21 · 09:59V. Kocian—117711113M. Levicky—61111862
WMar 21 · 09:00V. Kocian—1111123M. Levicky—91100
V. Kocian10
WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113WAug 22 · 18:30V. Kocian1.501111113M. Blaha2.508860WAug 17 · 12:58M. Kaspar1.91911751V. Kocian1.8011511113
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152LAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
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