TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086837
Played Sep 7Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1151012911911––
Vojtech Kocian
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Vojtech Kocian below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 57.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 3–9 Vojtech Kocian Daniel Tyn has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Kocian
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1334 vs Kocian 1350
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 80% vs Kocian 60%
Tyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 60% vs Kocian 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn -1 · Kocian -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kocian) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 2.00 / Kocian 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kocian)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086837
Tyn2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 39 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Kocian1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTyn3wins
AwayKocian7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKocian leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTyn33.3%2 of 6
AwayKocian75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tyn6Kocian4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S2Tyn6Kocian4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S3Tyn3Kocian7n = 10Kocian took 7 of 10
S4Tyn4Kocian5n = 9Kocian took 5 of 9
S5Tyn0Kocian3n = 3Kocian took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTynKocianT − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.639.4−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynKocianBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 287 vs 87 / 16746.7%52.1%134 / 287 vs 87 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianTyn 2.00/Kocian 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn—1110991V. Kocian—51211113
WAug 30 · 13:30D. Tyn—1111133V. Kocian—95110
LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn—671191V. Kocian—11115113
WAug 22 · 21:28D. Tyn—51111113V. Kocian—116761
LAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn—1111105122V. Kocian—981211143
WAug 17 · 12:30D. Tyn—11119113V. Kocian—671181
LMay 15 · 18:30D. Tyn—31191192V. Kocian—117115113
LMay 13 · 10:30D. Tyn—11871392V. Kocian—4111111113
LMay 7 · 21:00D. Tyn—118391V. Kocian—81111113
LMay 7 · 18:30D. Tyn—911261V. Kocian—11911113
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152WAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
V. Kocian10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113WAug 22 · 18:30V. Kocian1.501111113M. Blaha2.508860WAug 17 · 12:58M. Kaspar1.91911751V. Kocian1.8011511113
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