TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042554
Played Aug 30Finished
Vojtech Kocian
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511115114911115
Matej Levicky
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Levicky to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 83 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Matej Levicky at 62.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 6–5 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1382 vs Levicky 1267
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 80% vs Levicky 40%
Kocian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 60% vs Levicky 30%
Kocian
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian +1 · Levicky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Levicky) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 2.25 / Levicky 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Levicky)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042554
Kocian2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 18 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Levicky1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 68 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocian5wins
AwayLevicky5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian71.4%5 of 7
AwayLevicky100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian7Levicky3n = 10Kocian took 7 of 10
S2Kocian2Levicky8n = 10Levicky took 8 of 10
S3Kocian5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S4Kocian4Levicky3n = 7Kocian took 4 of 7
S5Kocian2Levicky2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocianLevickyK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.4−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 162 vs 196 / 37151.9%52.8%84 / 162 vs 196 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyKocian 2.25/Levicky 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 6 · 20:00V. Kocian—7720M. Levicky—1111113
WJun 14 · 07:00V. Kocian—11612113M. Levicky—7111081
WJun 5 · 21:30V. Kocian—11715113M. Levicky—6111381
LJun 5 · 18:00V. Kocian—111010101M. Levicky—61212123
LApr 11 · 18:00V. Kocian—111169112M. Levicky—721111133
WApr 5 · 12:00V. Kocian—129114113M. Levicky—101181182
LMar 22 · 21:30V. Kocian—5860M. Levicky—1111113
WMar 21 · 09:59V. Kocian—117711113M. Levicky—61111862
WMar 21 · 09:00V. Kocian—1111123M. Levicky—91100
LDec 27 · 18:00V. Kocian—78111172M. Levicky—111187113
V. Kocian10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113WAug 22 · 18:30V. Kocian1.501111113M. Blaha2.508860WAug 17 · 12:58M. Kaspar1.91911751V. Kocian1.8011511113
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
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