TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470453
Played Aug 22Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11911810125111214
Vojtech Kocian
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Vojtech Kocian below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 103 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 1–6 Vojtech Kocian Daniel Tyn has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Kocian
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1293 vs Kocian 1372
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 60% vs Kocian 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 60% vs Kocian 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn +3 · Kocian +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 2.10 / Kocian 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocian)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12470453
Tyn2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 37 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Kocian1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 48 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTyn1wins
AwayKocian6wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKocian leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTyn25%1 of 4
AwayKocian100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tyn4Kocian3n = 7Tyn took 4 of 7
S2Tyn4Kocian3n = 7Tyn took 4 of 7
S3Tyn0Kocian7n = 7Kocian took 7 of 7
S4Tyn3Kocian4n = 7Kocian took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricTynKocianT − KBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.141.1−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynKocianBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 282 vs 82 / 15945.4%51.6%128 / 282 vs 82 / 159Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianTyn 2.10/Kocian 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 17 · 12:30D. Tyn—11119113V. Kocian—671181
LMay 15 · 18:30D. Tyn—31191192V. Kocian—117115113
LMay 13 · 10:30D. Tyn—11871392V. Kocian—4111111113
LMay 7 · 21:00D. Tyn—118391V. Kocian—81111113
LMay 7 · 18:30D. Tyn—911261V. Kocian—11911113
LApr 12 · 19:30D. Tyn—811761V. Kocian—11511113
LMar 28 · 20:00D. Tyn—1161091V. Kocian—81112113
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152
V. Kocian10
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113WAug 22 · 18:30V. Kocian1.501111113M. Blaha2.508860
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