TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042178
Played Aug 30Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119511119511115
Michal Kaspar
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Kaspar to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Michal Kaspar at 58.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 6–10 Michal Kaspar Daniel Tyn has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kaspar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Kaspar
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1308 vs Kaspar 1231
Tyn
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 20% vs Kaspar 40%
Kaspar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 50% vs Kaspar 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn +1 · Kaspar -3
Kaspar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tyn) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaspar form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 1.91 / Kaspar 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tyn)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042178
Tyn1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 38 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Kaspar1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite25% won 5 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTyn3wins
AwayKaspar7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKaspar leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTyn60%3 of 5
AwayKaspar100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tyn5Kaspar5n = 10split evenly
S2Tyn5Kaspar5n = 10split evenly
S3Tyn5Kaspar5n = 10split evenly
S4Tyn4Kaspar3n = 7Tyn took 4 of 7
S5Tyn1Kaspar5n = 6Kaspar took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTynKasparT − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.7−1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 284 vs 75 / 17246.1%43.6%131 / 284 vs 75 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TynTyn 1.91/Kaspar 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 06:30D. Tyn—1411113M. Kaspar—12890
LAug 6 · 08:30D. Tyn—11911982M. Kaspar—711511113
LJul 19 · 14:30D. Tyn—9690M. Kaspar—1111113
LMar 29 · 10:00D. Tyn—98111192M. Kaspar—111177113
WMar 26 · 13:00D. Tyn—1312133M. Kaspar—1110110
LMar 23 · 12:00D. Tyn—61181192M. Kaspar—116114113
LMar 22 · 10:00D. Tyn—41151172M. Kaspar—119117113
WMar 22 · 07:00D. Tyn—111178113M. Kaspar—48111182
LFeb 18 · 10:06D. Tyn—1051141M. Kaspar—12116113
LFeb 18 · 09:30D. Tyn—137714102M. Kaspar—11111112123
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
M. Kaspar10
LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 18 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.83881131Z. Zientek1.8311118113LAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113WAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101
Upcoming Matches
D. Tyn
M. Kaspar
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.