TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040668
Played Aug 30Finished
Matej Levicky
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411411118411––
Daniel Tyn
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tyn to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 64 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Daniel Tyn at 55.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 3–8 Daniel Tyn Matej Levicky has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Tyn
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1292 vs Tyn 1308
Tyn
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 40% vs Tyn 20%
Levicky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 30% vs Tyn 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -1 · Tyn -4
Tyn
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Tyn) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.10 / Tyn 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Tyn)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040668
Levicky2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Tyn1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite45% won 24 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it77% 10 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it63% 17 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky2wins
AwayTyn8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTyn leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky25%1 of 4
AwayTyn83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky4Tyn6n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S2Levicky6Tyn4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S3Levicky3Tyn7n = 10Tyn took 7 of 10
S4Levicky3Tyn6n = 9Tyn took 6 of 9
S5Levicky1Tyn3n = 4Tyn took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyTynL − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.441.3−4.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyTynBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 374 vs 131 / 28452.7%46.1%197 / 374 vs 131 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TynLevicky 2.10/Tyn 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Tyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky—441141D. Tyn—11118113
WAug 20 · 19:00M. Levicky—311119113D. Tyn—11591182
LJul 26 · 16:00M. Levicky—1013231D. Tyn—121111113
LJul 4 · 17:30M. Levicky—122871D. Tyn—101111113
WJul 4 · 16:00M. Levicky—1111113D. Tyn—9920
LJun 6 · 10:30M. Levicky—111010101D. Tyn—71212123
LJun 1 · 21:30M. Levicky—11771172D. Tyn—311117113
LJun 1 · 18:30M. Levicky—911471D. Tyn—11511113
LMay 26 · 10:00M. Levicky—81181152D. Tyn—117118113
LMay 9 · 12:30M. Levicky—81191192D. Tyn—117118113
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152
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