TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042897
Played Aug 30Finished
Matej Levicky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Michal Kaspar
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Matej Levicky at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 2–0 Michal Kaspar Michal Kaspar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:47What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kaspar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1259 vs Kaspar 1263
Kaspar
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 40% vs Kaspar 20%
Levicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 30% vs Kaspar 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -3 · Kaspar -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaspar form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.83 / Kaspar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Levicky)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042897
Levicky1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kaspar1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLevicky2wins
AwayKaspar0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevicky leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLevickyKasparL − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match49.547.5+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 372 vs 74 / 17052.7%43.5%196 / 372 vs 74 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.83/Kaspar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky—111276113M. Kaspar—910111172
WAug 11 · 06:30M. Levicky—1211126113M. Kaspar—103141192
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152LAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
M. Kaspar10
LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 18 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.83881131Z. Zientek1.8311118113LAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113WAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101LAug 17 · 12:58M. Kaspar1.91911751V. Kocian1.8011511113
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