TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087426
Played Sep 7Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51114121210119––
Matej Levicky
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tyn to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 84 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Daniel Tyn at 74.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 10–3 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Tyn
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1334 vs Levicky 1218
Tyn
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 60% vs Levicky 20%
Tyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 70% vs Levicky 20%
Tyn
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn +1 · Levicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Tyn) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 1.40 / Levicky 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Tyn)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087426
Tyn1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite46% won 25 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29
Levicky2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTyn8wins
AwayLevicky2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTyn leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTyn80%4 of 5
AwayLevicky20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tyn5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S2Tyn6Levicky4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S3Tyn7Levicky3n = 10Tyn took 7 of 10
S4Tyn7Levicky1n = 8Tyn took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTynLevickyT − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.234.0+5.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 287 vs 196 / 37746.7%52%134 / 287 vs 196 / 377Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TynTyn 1.40/Levicky 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Tyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn—51412113M. Levicky—11121091
WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn—1111113M. Levicky—8890
WAug 30 · 10:00D. Tyn—11118113M. Levicky—441141
LAug 20 · 19:00D. Tyn—11591182M. Levicky—311119113
WJul 26 · 16:00D. Tyn—121111113M. Levicky—1013231
WJul 4 · 17:30D. Tyn—101111113M. Levicky—122871
LJul 4 · 16:00D. Tyn—9920M. Levicky—1111113
WJun 6 · 10:30D. Tyn—71212123M. Levicky—111010101
WJun 1 · 21:30D. Tyn—311117113M. Levicky—11771172
WJun 1 · 18:30D. Tyn—11511113M. Levicky—911471
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152WAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
M. Levicky10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152LAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113
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