TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086678
Played Sep 6Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12101113411711––
Daniel Priesol
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Tyn at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 8–7 Daniel Priesol Daniel Priesol has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1340 vs Priesol 1318
Tyn
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 80% vs Priesol 60%
Tyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 60% vs Priesol 40%
Tyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn +4 · Priesol +2
Tyn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 1.73 / Priesol 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tyn)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086678
Tyn1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 24 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Priesol2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 52 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTyn4wins
AwayPriesol6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPriesol leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTyn66.7%4 of 6
AwayPriesol100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tyn6Priesol4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S2Tyn5Priesol5n = 10split evenly
S3Tyn6Priesol4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S4Tyn3Priesol6n = 9Priesol took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTynPriesolT − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.4−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 287 vs 239 / 46746.7%51.2%134 / 287 vs 239 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TynTyn 1.73/Priesol 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Priesol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:00D. Tyn—13112113D. Priesol—1191161
WJul 26 · 14:00D. Tyn—111411123D. Priesol—8165101
LApr 19 · 12:30D. Tyn—117881D. Priesol—81111113
LMar 14 · 09:58D. Tyn—312118102D. Priesol—1110811123
LMar 14 · 07:30D. Tyn—111111932D. Priesol—137511113
WMar 7 · 11:30D. Tyn—1111133D. Priesol—86110
LMar 5 · 22:28D. Tyn—5115101D. Priesol—11211123
LMar 5 · 20:00D. Tyn—1158101D. Priesol—61111123
LFeb 9 · 22:30D. Tyn—7611121D. Priesol—11115143
WFeb 9 · 21:30D. Tyn—111011133D. Priesol—7126111
D. Tyn10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152WAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113LAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102LAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142LAug 30 · 01:30L. Sulava2.10111111113D. Priesol1.67713761
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