TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082587
Played Sep 6Finished
Daniel Priesol
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114711115118––
Antonin Schneeberger
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Priesol above · Antonin Schneeberger below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 68 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 58.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Priesol 14–10 Antonin Schneeberger Antonin Schneeberger has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Priesol
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Priesol
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priesol 1307 vs Schneeberger 1287
Priesol
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priesol 40% vs Schneeberger 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priesol 40% vs Schneeberger 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priesol +1 · Schneeberger -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priesol) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriesol 1.73 / Schneeberger 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Priesol)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082587
Priesol1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 45 of 63
Schneeberger2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 32 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriesol8wins
AwaySchneeberger2wins
8 of 10 to a deciderPriesol leads 8–2, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriesol80%4 of 5
AwaySchneeberger20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priesol5Schneeberger5n = 10split evenly
S2Priesol6Schneeberger4n = 10Priesol took 6 of 10
S3Priesol7Schneeberger3n = 10Priesol took 7 of 10
S4Priesol4Schneeberger4n = 8split evenly
S5Priesol6Schneeberger2n = 8Priesol took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriesolSchneebergerP − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.739.9+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriesolSchneebergerBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 466 vs 110 / 24351.1%45.3%238 / 466 vs 110 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolPriesol 1.73/Schneeberger 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Priesol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 07:00D. Priesol—111177113A. Schneeberger—62111182
WAug 1 · 18:30D. Priesol—813812113A. Schneeberger—1111111092
WAug 1 · 15:00D. Priesol—881111113A. Schneeberger—11116822
WJul 18 · 13:00D. Priesol—1171112123A. Schneeberger—711614102
WJul 18 · 10:00D. Priesol—1111113A. Schneeberger—8450
LJul 13 · 18:30D. Priesol—14351182A. Schneeberger—1211119113
WJul 11 · 20:58D. Priesol—1111115113A. Schneeberger—13461162
WJul 11 · 20:00D. Priesol—1111113A. Schneeberger—9650
WJul 10 · 20:00D. Priesol—651116113A. Schneeberger—111161432
LJul 10 · 07:00D. Priesol—7111110122A. Schneeberger—116412143
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142LAug 30 · 01:30L. Sulava2.10111111113D. Priesol1.67713761
A. Schneeberger10
WSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790WAug 14 · 21:00J. Peter1.8311117852A. Schneeberger1.83741111113LAug 14 · 20:30M. Kolek2.00114118113A. Schneeberger1.7381191192LAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123LAug 14 · 18:30J. Peter2.631213811113A. Schneeberger1.44101511862WAug 13 · 09:30A. Schneeberger1.361111113D. Tyn3.007840WAug 13 · 08:30A. Schneeberger1.441111113D. Tyn2.634770LAug 13 · 07:00A. Schneeberger2.10104111162M. Kaspar1.67121128113
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