TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12411972
Played Aug 13Finished
Antonin Schneeberger
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012411112118611
Michal Kaspar
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Kaspar to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAntonin Schneeberger above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Michal Kaspar at 57.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Schneeberger 1–3 Michal Kaspar Antonin Schneeberger has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kaspar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kaspar
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schneeberger 1283 vs Kaspar 1304
Kaspar
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schneeberger 40% vs Kaspar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schneeberger 50% vs Kaspar 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schneeberger +1 · Kaspar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kaspar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaspar form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchneeberger 2.10 / Kaspar 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kaspar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12411972
Schneeberger2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 36 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Kaspar1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite27% won 6 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSchneeberger1wins
AwayKaspar3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKaspar leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchneebergern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKaspar100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schneeberger1Kaspar3n = 4Kaspar took 3 of 4
S2Schneeberger1Kaspar3n = 4Kaspar took 3 of 4
S3Schneeberger3Kaspar1n = 4Schneeberger took 3 of 4
S4Schneeberger2Kaspar2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSchneebergerKasparS − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match37.238.5−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchneebergerKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 241 vs 80 / 18445.2%43.5%109 / 241 vs 80 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasparSchneeberger 2.10/Kaspar 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kaspar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kaspar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 13 · 07:00A. Schneeberger—104111162M. Kaspar—121128113
WAug 1 · 17:10A. Schneeberger—11711113M. Kaspar—811951
LAug 1 · 14:30A. Schneeberger—991141M. Kaspar—1111563
LFeb 15 · 12:30A. Schneeberger—813671M. Kaspar—111111113
A. Schneeberger10
WSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581LSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790WAug 14 · 21:00J. Peter1.8311117852A. Schneeberger1.83741111113LAug 14 · 20:30M. Kolek2.00114118113A. Schneeberger1.7381191192LAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123LAug 14 · 18:30J. Peter2.631213811113A. Schneeberger1.44101511862WAug 13 · 09:30A. Schneeberger1.361111113D. Tyn3.007840WAug 13 · 08:30A. Schneeberger1.441111113D. Tyn2.634770
M. Kaspar10
LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 18 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.83881131Z. Zientek1.8311118113LAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113WAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101
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