TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12425211
Played Aug 14Finished
Matyas Kolek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118411119811119
Antonin Schneeberger
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Kolek above · Antonin Schneeberger below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Kolek 1–6 Antonin Schneeberger Matyas Kolek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:04What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Schneeberger
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Schneeberger
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1413 vs Schneeberger 1302
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 80% vs Schneeberger 40%
Kolek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 70% vs Schneeberger 40%
Kolek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +3 · Schneeberger -2
Kolek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schneeberger form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.00 / Schneeberger 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolek)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12425211
Kolek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 35 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Schneeberger1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 68 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKolek1wins
AwaySchneeberger6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSchneeberger leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySchneeberger100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek2Schneeberger5n = 7Schneeberger took 5 of 7
S2Kolek2Schneeberger5n = 7Schneeberger took 5 of 7
S3Kolek2Schneeberger5n = 7Schneeberger took 5 of 7
S4Kolek2Schneeberger3n = 5Schneeberger took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKolekSchneebergerK − SBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match32.338.4−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekSchneebergerBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 209 vs 108 / 23952.6%45.2%110 / 209 vs 108 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 2.00/Schneeberger 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 5 · 11:00M. Kolek—11711113A. Schneeberger—611481
LAug 1 · 19:00M. Kolek—671171A. Schneeberger—11119113
LJun 5 · 12:30M. Kolek—911881A. Schneeberger—11411113
LMay 10 · 11:30M. Kolek—911491A. Schneeberger—11911113
LApr 16 · 10:00M. Kolek—11851192A. Schneeberger—911119113
LApr 15 · 07:00M. Kolek—58110A. Schneeberger—1111133
LMar 13 · 11:00M. Kolek—9270A. Schneeberger—1111113
M. Kolek10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152LSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952WSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek1.906580F. Zurek1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek2.2512114123F. Zurek1.5710811101LAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332WAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282LAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432LAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133
A. Schneeberger10
WSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581LSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790WAug 14 · 21:00J. Peter1.8311117852A. Schneeberger1.83741111113LAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123LAug 14 · 18:30J. Peter2.631213811113A. Schneeberger1.44101511862WAug 13 · 09:30A. Schneeberger1.361111113D. Tyn3.007840WAug 13 · 08:30A. Schneeberger1.441111113D. Tyn2.634770LAug 13 · 07:00A. Schneeberger2.10104111162M. Kaspar1.67121128113
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