Michal Kaspar vs Zbynek Zientek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12454665

Played Aug 18Finished

Michal Kaspar

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811811118311––

Zbynek Zientek

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMichal Kaspar above · Zbynek Zientek below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 3-11

Point 71 set 4, 3-11

71 points played in total.

H2H Michal Kaspar 7–11 Zbynek Zientek Michal Kaspar has won 7 of their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zientek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zientek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKaspar 1.83 / Zientek 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Zientek)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12454665

Kaspar1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Zientek1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKaspar5wins

AwayZientek5wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKaspar66.7%2 of 3

AwayZientek57.1%4 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kaspar3Zientek7n = 10Zientek took 7 of 10

S2Kaspar6Zientek4n = 10Kaspar took 6 of 10

S3Kaspar6Zientek4n = 10Kaspar took 6 of 10

S4Kaspar5Zientek3n = 8Kaspar took 5 of 8

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKasparZientekK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.337.1+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKasparZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 187 vs 180 / 36643.9%49.2%82 / 187 vs 180 / 366Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zientek

Kaspar 1.83/Zientek 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Zientek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Zientek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 18 · 07:00M. Kaspar—51112113Z. Zientek—1181091

LAug 17 · 12:00M. Kaspar—108111172Z. Zientek—121184113

WAug 13 · 08:58M. Kaspar—111912133Z. Zientek—71714111

LAug 13 · 08:00M. Kaspar—1184101Z. Zientek—71111123

WAug 11 · 07:30M. Kaspar—41111113Z. Zientek—118981

LAug 6 · 09:30M. Kaspar—611751Z. Zientek—11511113

LAug 6 · 07:30M. Kaspar—8480Z. Zientek—1111113

WJul 19 · 17:30M. Kaspar—81111113Z. Zientek—117751

WJul 19 · 15:30M. Kaspar—1111113Z. Zientek—6540

LJun 16 · 08:59M. Kaspar—981481Z. Zientek—111112113

M. Kaspar10

LSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113 LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110 LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113 WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113 WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113 LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860 LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152 LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113 LAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172 WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113

Z. Zientek10

WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113 LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100 WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752 WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113 LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102 LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113 LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113 LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282 WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102 LAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113

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