TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091497
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Kaspar
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214112911811––
Matej Levicky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Kaspar above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kaspar 2–3 Matej Levicky Michal Kaspar has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kaspar beat Levicky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaspar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaspar 1.73 / Levicky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kaspar)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091497
Kaspar1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite22% won 4 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it50% 3 of 6
Levicky2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKaspar2wins
AwayLevicky3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderLevicky leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasparn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLevicky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaspar1Levicky4n = 5Levicky took 4 of 5
S2Kaspar0Levicky5n = 5Levicky took 5 of 5
S3Kaspar4Levicky1n = 5Kaspar took 4 of 5
S4Kaspar4Levicky0n = 4Kaspar took 4 of 4
S5Kaspar1Levicky2n = 3Levicky took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKasparLevickyK − LBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match43.044.4−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasparLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 167 vs 196 / 37743.7%52%73 / 167 vs 196 / 377Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasparKaspar 1.73/Levicky 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kaspar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Kaspar—11712113M. Levicky—7111081
WAug 30 · 12:59M. Kaspar—14111111113M. Levicky—16137992
LAug 30 · 12:00M. Kaspar—7860M. Levicky—1111113
LAug 18 · 08:00M. Kaspar—910111172M. Levicky—111276113
LAug 11 · 06:30M. Kaspar—103141192M. Levicky—1211126113
M. Kaspar10
LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 18 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.83881131Z. Zientek1.8311118113LAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860WAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172
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