TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087427
Played Sep 7Finished
Vojtech Kocian
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181161311––––
Michal Kaspar
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 60 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 64.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 3–1 Michal Kaspar Michal Kaspar has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kocian
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1350 vs Kaspar 1234
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 60% vs Kaspar 40%
Kocian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 70% vs Kaspar 40%
Kocian
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian -1 · Kaspar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kocian) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.53 / Kaspar 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kocian)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087427
Kocian1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Kaspar2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 22 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back33% 10 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKocian3wins
AwayKaspar1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKocian leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian100%3 of 3
AwayKasparn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian3Kaspar1n = 4Kocian took 3 of 4
S2Kocian3Kaspar1n = 4Kocian took 3 of 4
S3Kocian2Kaspar2n = 4split evenly
S4Kocian1Kaspar2n = 3Kaspar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKocianKasparKocian − KasparBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.836.2+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 167 vs 73 / 16652.1%44%87 / 167 vs 73 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.53/Kaspar 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 30 · 10:30V. Kocian—1111913113M. Kaspar—68111582
WAug 17 · 12:58V. Kocian—11511113M. Kaspar—911751
LAug 17 · 11:30V. Kocian—511881M. Kaspar—11911113
WJun 16 · 08:30V. Kocian—1112113M. Kaspar—71060
V. Kocian10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113WAug 22 · 18:30V. Kocian1.501111113M. Blaha2.508860
M. Kaspar10
LSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 18 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.83881131Z. Zientek1.8311118113LAug 18 · 08:00M. Levicky1.80111276113M. Kaspar1.91910111172WAug 18 · 07:00Z. Zientek1.731181091M. Kaspar2.0051112113
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