TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12469317
Played Aug 22Finished
Vojtech Kocian
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118116––––
Michal Blaha
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Michal Blaha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 59.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 11–4 Michal Blaha Michal Blaha has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Kocian
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1381 vs Blaha 1136
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 40% vs Blaha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 50% vs Blaha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian +1 · Blaha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kocian) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocian form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.50 / Blaha 2.50
Signal prob.74% / 27%
Edge (Kocian)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12469317
Kocian1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 48 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Blaha2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocian9wins
AwayBlaha1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKocian leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian100%8 of 8
AwayBlahan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian8Blaha2n = 10Kocian took 8 of 10
S2Kocian6Blaha4n = 10Kocian took 6 of 10
S3Kocian8Blaha2n = 10Kocian took 8 of 10
S4Kocian2Blaha4n = 6Blaha took 4 of 6
S5Kocian4Blaha0n = 4Kocian took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocianBlahaK − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.534.4+8.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianBlahaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 160 vs 89 / 17851.9%50%83 / 160 vs 89 / 178Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.50/Blaha 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.5%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 18:30V. Kocian—1111113M. Blaha—8860
WAug 4 · 21:29V. Kocian—117139113M. Blaha—611111172
WAug 4 · 19:30V. Kocian—11101211113M. Blaha—81214792
WAug 1 · 08:00V. Kocian—1111113M. Blaha—5690
WApr 11 · 21:30V. Kocian—1011119113M. Blaha—12081172
WApr 11 · 20:00V. Kocian—111159123M. Blaha—531111102
WApr 5 · 11:30V. Kocian—111611123M. Blaha—5189101
WMar 26 · 21:30V. Kocian—1111163M. Blaha—92140
WMar 22 · 20:00V. Kocian—1111113M. Blaha—8860
LMar 19 · 19:00V. Kocian—391191M. Blaha—11116113
V. Kocian10
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113
M. Blaha10
WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792
Upcoming Matches
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