TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13044062
Played Aug 29Finished
Alois Kanak
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177116111113––
Michal Blaha
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Blaha to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlois Kanak above · Michal Blaha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 77 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Michal Blaha at 60.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Alois Kanak 5–16 Michal Blaha Alois Kanak has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (64%)
Blaha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Blaha
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1142 vs Blaha 1220
Blaha
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Blaha 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Blaha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +3 · Blaha +1
Kanak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Blaha) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 2.50 / Blaha 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Blaha)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13044062
Kanak2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 28 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Blaha1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 32 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanak1wins
AwayBlaha9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBlaha leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak20%1 of 5
AwayBlaha100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak5Blaha5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanak5Blaha5n = 10split evenly
S3Kanak2Blaha8n = 10Blaha took 8 of 10
S4Kanak2Blaha6n = 8Blaha took 6 of 8
S5Kanak0Blaha4n = 4Blaha took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKanakBlahaK − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.641.9−6.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakBlahaBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 240 vs 95 / 18746.3%50.8%111 / 240 vs 95 / 187Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlahaKanak 2.50/Blaha 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Blaha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blaha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak—11114113M. Blaha—951171
LJul 26 · 11:30A. Kanak—67110M. Blaha—1111133
LJul 10 · 20:59A. Kanak—117661M. Blaha—91111113
LJul 10 · 19:00A. Kanak—1011101172M. Blaha—129128113
LJun 20 · 19:00A. Kanak—22117852M. Blaha—2081111113
LMar 8 · 07:30A. Kanak—11116562M. Blaha—851111113
LFeb 22 · 18:30A. Kanak—811111252M. Blaha—11721493
LFeb 22 · 15:00A. Kanak—561191M. Blaha—11118113
LFeb 10 · 07:00A. Kanak—2960M. Blaha—1111113
LFeb 7 · 18:30A. Kanak—113691M. Blaha—11111113
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113WAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113
M. Blaha10
WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:30M. Blaha3.00144791D. Tyn1.36121111113
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