TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082597
Played Sep 6Finished
Alois Kanak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1187111121715––
David Vavrecka
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:50 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeAlois Kanak to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlois Kanak above · David Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 82 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Alois Kanak at 55.8%
82 points played in total.
H2H Alois Kanak 4–1 David Vavrecka David Vavrecka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Kanak
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1182 vs Vavrecka 1133
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Vavrecka 20%
Kanak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Vavrecka 40%
Kanak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Vavrecka -3
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.67 / Vavrecka 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kanak)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082597
Kanak1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite43% won 24 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Vavrecka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 10 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKanak4wins
AwayVavrecka1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKanak leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak100%3 of 3
AwayVavreckan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak3Vavrecka2n = 5Kanak took 3 of 5
S2Kanak3Vavrecka2n = 5Kanak took 3 of 5
S3Kanak3Vavrecka2n = 5Kanak took 3 of 5
S4Kanak1Vavrecka2n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKanakVavreckaK − VBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.034.4+5.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 243 vs 56 / 12346.5%45.5%113 / 243 vs 56 / 123Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.67/Vavrecka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak—11711173D. Vavrecka—8112151
WAug 29 · 18:30A. Kanak—3111111113D. Vavrecka—11961342
WAug 23 · 09:00A. Kanak—1111108113D. Vavrecka—55121162
LAug 23 · 06:00A. Kanak—10490D. Vavrecka—1211113
WMay 26 · 10:30A. Kanak—1111113D. Vavrecka—9470
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113WAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113WAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.