TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036441
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Blaha
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611711116114116
David Vavrecka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Vavrecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Blaha above · David Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 84 set 5, 11-6 — our read held David Vavrecka at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Michal Blaha 1–4 David Vavrecka Michal Blaha has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Vavrecka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blaha 1189 vs Vavrecka 1187
Blaha
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blaha 60% vs Vavrecka 80%
Vavrecka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blaha 50% vs Vavrecka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blaha -1 · Vavrecka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlaha 2.00 / Vavrecka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blaha)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036441
Blaha2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 15 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Vavrecka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 19 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBlaha1wins
AwayVavrecka4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVavrecka leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlahan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVavrecka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blaha1Vavrecka4n = 5Vavrecka took 4 of 5
S2Blaha3Vavrecka2n = 5Blaha took 3 of 5
S3Blaha2Vavrecka3n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
S4Blaha2Vavrecka3n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBlahaVavreckaB − VBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match37.038.8−1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlahaVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 186 vs 56 / 12350.5%45.5%94 / 186 vs 56 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaBlaha 2.00/Vavrecka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blaha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 27 · 11:30M. Blaha—981191D. Vavrecka—11116113
LAug 16 · 06:30M. Blaha—1261071D. Vavrecka—101112113
LMay 1 · 16:00M. Blaha—81161162D. Vavrecka—118114113
LApr 18 · 11:30M. Blaha—911761D. Vavrecka—11511113
WApr 11 · 18:30M. Blaha—51111113D. Vavrecka—115751
M. Blaha10
WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:30M. Blaha3.00144791D. Tyn1.36121111113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113WAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191
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