TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020629
Played Aug 27Finished
David Vavrecka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118611119––
Michal Blaha
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Blaha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Vavrecka above · Michal Blaha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Michal Blaha at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H David Vavrecka 3–1 Michal Blaha Michal Blaha has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:56What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1166 vs Blaha 1156
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 20% vs Blaha 40%
Blaha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 20% vs Blaha 40%
Blaha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -4 · Blaha +2
Vavrecka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.67 / Blaha 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Blaha)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020629
Vavrecka1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 17 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Blaha2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 16 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVavrecka3wins
AwayBlaha1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderVavrecka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka66.7%2 of 3
AwayBlahan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka3Blaha1n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
S2Vavrecka1Blaha3n = 4Blaha took 3 of 4
S3Vavrecka3Blaha1n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
S4Vavrecka2Blaha2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVavreckaBlahaV − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.837.0+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaBlahaBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 118 vs 91 / 18144.1%50.3%52 / 118 vs 91 / 181Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.67/Blaha 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 16 · 06:30D. Vavrecka—101112113M. Blaha—1261071
WMay 1 · 16:00D. Vavrecka—118114113M. Blaha—81161162
WApr 18 · 11:30D. Vavrecka—11511113M. Blaha—911761
LApr 11 · 18:30D. Vavrecka—115751M. Blaha—51111113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113
M. Blaha10
WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:30M. Blaha3.00144791D. Tyn1.36121111113
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