TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13037075
Played Aug 29Finished
Miroslav Stolba
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711115911––
David Vavrecka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:41 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Vavrecka to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Stolba above · David Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held David Vavrecka at 58.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Stolba 0–5 David Vavrecka Miroslav Stolba has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolba 1124 vs Vavrecka 1178
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolba 0% vs Vavrecka 60%
Vavrecka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolba 40% vs Vavrecka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolba -5 · Vavrecka -1
Stolba
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolba form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolba 2.20 / Vavrecka 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vavrecka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13037075
Stolba2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Vavrecka1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 19 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStolba0wins
AwayVavrecka5wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVavrecka leads 5–0, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolban = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVavrecka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolba2Vavrecka3n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
S2Stolba1Vavrecka4n = 5Vavrecka took 4 of 5
S3Stolba4Vavrecka1n = 5Stolba took 4 of 5
S4Stolba0Vavrecka4n = 4Vavrecka took 4 of 4
S5Stolba0Vavrecka3n = 3Vavrecka took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricStolbaVavreckaS − VBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.844.0−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolbaVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 101 vs 55 / 12249.5%45.1%50 / 101 vs 55 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaStolba 2.20/Vavrecka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba—151111762D. Vavrecka—177911113
LApr 5 · 15:00M. Stolba—9590D. Vavrecka—1111113
LMar 21 · 11:30M. Stolba—871141D. Vavrecka—11117113
LNov 29 · 19:30M. Stolba—1191110102D. Vavrecka—611812123
LOct 31 · 19:30M. Stolba—11511762D. Vavrecka—711311113
M. Stolba10
WAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113LAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530LAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171LAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113LAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113LAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152WAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113WAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113WAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.