TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434198
Played Aug 15Finished
Ivo Palmi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611115711––
Miroslav Stolba
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:35 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Stolba to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Palmi above · Miroslav Stolba below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Stolba at 62.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Palmi 0–2 Miroslav Stolba Ivo Palmi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:35What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Stolba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Palmi 1097 vs Stolba 1187
Stolba
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palmi 60% vs Stolba 20%
Palmi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palmi 50% vs Stolba 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Palmi +1 · Stolba +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Stolba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolba form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalmi 2.50 / Stolba 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Stolba)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434198
Palmi2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Stolba1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite38% won 11 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePalmi0wins
AwayStolba2wins
Stolba leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricPalmiStolbaP − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match27.035.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalmiStolbaBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 143 vs 50 / 9639.9%52.1%57 / 143 vs 50 / 96Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolbaPalmi 2.50/Stolba 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Stolba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stolba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi—861171M. Stolba—11115113
LJun 2 · 14:00I. Palmi—6790M. Stolba—1111113
I. Palmi10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi1.83611691S. Blabla1.8311811113WAug 26 · 14:30A. Kanak1.67911811102I. Palmi2.10116117123LAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152LAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113
M. Stolba10
WAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113LAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530LAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171LAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113LAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113LAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152WAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113
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