TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013076
Played Aug 26Finished
Alois Kanak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111168111171012
Ivo Palmi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:26 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeAlois Kanak to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlois Kanak above · Ivo Palmi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Alois Kanak at 55.3%
96 points played in total.
H2H Alois Kanak 5–4 Ivo Palmi Ivo Palmi has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:26What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1090 vs Palmi 1097
Palmi
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 40% vs Palmi 20%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 20% vs Palmi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Palmi -3
Palmi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palmi form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.67 / Palmi 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kanak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013076
Kanak1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite45% won 27 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 22 of 32
Palmi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 9 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKanak5wins
AwayPalmi4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKanak leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak83.3%5 of 6
AwayPalmi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak6Palmi3n = 9Kanak took 6 of 9
S2Kanak5Palmi4n = 9Kanak took 5 of 9
S3Kanak3Palmi6n = 9Palmi took 6 of 9
S4Kanak3Palmi3n = 6split evenly
S5Kanak2Palmi1n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKanakPalmiK − PBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.637.7−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakPalmiBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 233 vs 55 / 13545.5%40.7%106 / 233 vs 55 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.67/Palmi 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Palmi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WNov 16 · 13:30A. Kanak—1112113I. Palmi—91070
WNov 8 · 14:10A. Kanak—13119763I. Palmi—118111152
LNov 8 · 12:00A. Kanak—9580I. Palmi—1111113
WNov 5 · 16:00A. Kanak—1411793I. Palmi—1271141
WSep 16 · 11:00A. Kanak—1110611113I. Palmi—81211582
LSep 12 · 16:30A. Kanak—11681192I. Palmi—411116113
WSep 9 · 13:11A. Kanak—1111153I. Palmi—98130
LSep 9 · 10:30A. Kanak—811741I. Palmi—11711113
LMar 25 · 13:30A. Kanak—10111121I. Palmi—12137113
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113
I. Palmi10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi1.83611691S. Blabla1.8311811113LAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152LAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
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