TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13014140
Played Aug 26Finished
Ivo Palmi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118611911––
Simon Blabla
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvo Palmi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvo Palmi above · Simon Blabla below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ivo Palmi at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Palmi 0–1 Simon Blabla Ivo Palmi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Blabla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Palmi 1135 vs Blabla 1112
Palmi
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palmi 40% vs Blabla 20%
Palmi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palmi 40% vs Blabla 20%
Palmi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palmi +1 · Blabla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Palmi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blabla form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalmi 1.83 / Blabla 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Palmi)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13014140
Palmi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Blabla1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePalmi0wins
AwayBlabla1wins
Blabla leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPalmiBlablaP − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.041.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalmiBlablaBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 139 vs 6 / 1941.7%31.6%58 / 139 vs 6 / 19Avg sets wonper match1.81.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.333.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PalmiPalmi 1.83/Blabla 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Palmi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blabla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi—611691S. Blabla—11811113
I. Palmi10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113WAug 26 · 14:30A. Kanak1.67911811102I. Palmi2.10116117123LAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152LAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
S. Blabla10
WAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113LAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113WAug 26 · 14:00S. Blabla1.831191311113J. Foltynek1.8341115852LJan 12 · 22:00M. Levicky1.61111211113S. Blabla2.20714931LJan 12 · 21:00M. Levicky1.831111113S. Blabla1.834380LJan 12 · 20:00J. Toth1.9111811123S. Blabla1.807113101LJan 12 · 19:30S. Blabla1.671165121M. Stolba2.1071111143LDec 9 · 22:00M. Blaha1.44119711113S. Blabla2.6321111962LDec 9 · 21:30S. Blabla2.109580M. Blaha1.671111113LDec 9 · 20:00S. Blabla1.679811121O. Homola2.1011117143
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