TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12439285
Played Aug 15Finished
Miroslav Stolba
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13111151012811115
Ivo Palmi
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Stolba to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Stolba above · Ivo Palmi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 97 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Miroslav Stolba at 70.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Stolba 2–0 Ivo Palmi Ivo Palmi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Stolba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stolba 1179 vs Palmi 1105
Stolba
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolba 60% vs Palmi 20%
Stolba
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolba 50% vs Palmi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolba +3 · Palmi -2
Stolba
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Stolba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palmi form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolba 1.33 / Palmi 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Stolba)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12439285
Stolba1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite38% won 11 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Palmi3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStolba2wins
AwayPalmi0wins
Stolba leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStolbaPalmiS − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.527.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolbaPalmiBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 95 vs 57 / 14251.6%40.1%49 / 95 vs 57 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolbaStolba 1.33/Palmi 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Stolba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stolba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 15 · 11:00M. Stolba—11115113I. Palmi—861171
WJun 2 · 14:00M. Stolba—1111113I. Palmi—6790
M. Stolba10
WAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113LAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530LAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171LAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113LAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113LAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113WAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
I. Palmi10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi1.83611691S. Blabla1.8311811113WAug 26 · 14:30A. Kanak1.67911811102I. Palmi2.10116117123LAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.