TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434263
Played Aug 15Finished
Josef Toth
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119411811411
Miroslav Stolba
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:45 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeJosef Toth to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Toth above · Miroslav Stolba below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 89 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Josef Toth at 55.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Josef Toth 7–2 Miroslav Stolba Miroslav Stolba has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Toth
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Toth
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toth 1184 vs Stolba 1168
Toth
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toth 60% vs Stolba 40%
Toth
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toth 40% vs Stolba 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Toth +1 · Stolba +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Toth) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToth 1.67 / Stolba 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Toth)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434263
Toth1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite36% won 8 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Stolba2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 16 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeToth7wins
AwayStolba2wins
5 of 9 to a deciderToth leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeToth85.7%6 of 7
AwayStolban = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toth7Stolba2n = 9Toth took 7 of 9
S2Toth5Stolba4n = 9Toth took 5 of 9
S3Toth6Stolba3n = 9Toth took 6 of 9
S4Toth4Stolba2n = 6Toth took 4 of 6
S5Toth3Stolba2n = 5Toth took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricTothStolbaT − SBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match42.636.7+5.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTothStolbaBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 162 vs 48 / 9445.7%51.1%74 / 162 vs 48 / 94Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TothToth 1.67/Stolba 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Toth · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stolba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 30 · 08:30J. Toth—1111133M. Stolba—65110
LJul 9 · 08:00J. Toth—911121192M. Stolba—1113107113
WMar 24 · 10:30J. Toth—1211113M. Stolba—10660
WMar 24 · 07:30J. Toth—1111711113M. Stolba—71311792
WMar 21 · 12:00J. Toth—118411113M. Stolba—61111492
WFeb 27 · 11:30J. Toth—1171111123M. Stolba—811613102
LJan 12 · 22:30J. Toth—11114662M. Stolba—871111113
WJan 12 · 21:30J. Toth—101111113M. Stolba—125861
WDec 5 · 08:00J. Toth—1111113M. Stolba—6670
J. Toth10
LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:30A. Kanak1.615980J. Toth2.201111113WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth2.201111310113D. Vavrecka1.6189111242WAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113WAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113LAug 15 · 10:00J. Toth2.00781161I. Palmi1.7311116113WAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941LAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672WAug 10 · 07:30J. Toth2.251112310113D. Vavrecka1.57810111292
M. Stolba10
WAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113LAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530LAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171LAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113LAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113LAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152WAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
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