TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475592
Played Aug 23Finished
Josef Toth
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181193111012114
David Vavrecka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Toth to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1181193111012114
H2H Josef Toth 4–4 David Vavrecka Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:30What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toth 1202 vs Vavrecka 1176
Toth
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toth 40% vs Vavrecka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toth 40% vs Vavrecka 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Toth +1 · Vavrecka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToth 2.20 / Vavrecka 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vavrecka)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12475592
Toth2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 32 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Vavrecka1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 17 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeToth4wins
AwayVavrecka4wins
5 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeToth60%3 of 5
AwayVavrecka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toth5Vavrecka3n = 8Toth took 5 of 8
S2Toth5Vavrecka3n = 8Toth took 5 of 8
S3Toth3Vavrecka5n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S4Toth2Vavrecka6n = 8Vavrecka took 6 of 8
S5Toth3Vavrecka2n = 5Toth took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricTothVavreckaT − VBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match42.644.0−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTothVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 168 vs 52 / 11745.8%44.4%77 / 168 vs 52 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaToth 2.20/Vavrecka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Toth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth—1111310113D. Vavrecka—89111242
WAug 10 · 07:30J. Toth—1112310113D. Vavrecka—810111292
LJun 30 · 06:30J. Toth—101112672D. Vavrecka—1271011113
WApr 25 · 18:30J. Toth—1211115113D. Vavrecka—14791172
LMar 21 · 14:28J. Toth—871171D. Vavrecka—11117113
LMar 21 · 13:30J. Toth—11891152D. Vavrecka—711116113
LMar 1 · 17:59J. Toth—113881D. Vavrecka—91111113
WMar 1 · 17:30J. Toth—111112113D. Vavrecka—741461
J. Toth10
LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:30A. Kanak1.615980J. Toth2.201111113WAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113LAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113WAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113LAug 15 · 10:00J. Toth2.00781161I. Palmi1.7311116113WAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941LAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.25751111113J. Toth3.7511118672WAug 10 · 07:30J. Toth2.251112310113D. Vavrecka1.57810111292
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 10 · 07:30J. Toth2.251112310113D. Vavrecka1.57810111292
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