TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13034781
Played Aug 29Finished
David Vavrecka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1139116111311411
Alois Kanak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlois Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Vavrecka above · Alois Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 90 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Alois Kanak at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H David Vavrecka 1–2 Alois Kanak David Vavrecka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1191 vs Kanak 1104
Vavrecka
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 60% vs Kanak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 40% vs Kanak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +3 · Kanak -1
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.73 / Kanak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vavrecka)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13034781
Vavrecka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 19 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Kanak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 28 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVavrecka1wins
AwayKanak2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKanak leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka1Kanak2n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S2Vavrecka1Kanak2n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S3Vavrecka2Kanak1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricVavreckaKanakV − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.035.7−4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 121 vs 108 / 23745.5%45.6%55 / 121 vs 108 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.73/Kanak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 23 · 09:00D. Vavrecka—55121162A. Kanak—1111108113
WAug 23 · 06:00D. Vavrecka—1211113A. Kanak—10490
LMay 26 · 10:30D. Vavrecka—9470A. Kanak—1111113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113WAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113WAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113
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