TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082591
Played Sep 6Finished
Ivan Kolenciak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111171012411––
Alois Kanak
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Kolenciak to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Kolenciak above · Alois Kanak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ivan Kolenciak at 60.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kolenciak 6–2 Alois Kanak Alois Kanak has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolenciak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Kolenciak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenciak 1208 vs Kanak 1146
Kolenciak
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenciak 80% vs Kanak 60%
Kolenciak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenciak 50% vs Kanak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenciak +2 · Kanak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kolenciak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenciak 1.57 / Kanak 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Kolenciak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082591
Kolenciak1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Kanak2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKolenciak6wins
AwayKanak2wins
Kolenciak leads 6–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenciak100%5 of 5
AwayKanak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenciak5Kanak3n = 8Kolenciak took 5 of 8
S2Kolenciak5Kanak3n = 8Kolenciak took 5 of 8
S3Kolenciak6Kanak2n = 8Kolenciak took 6 of 8
S4Kolenciak3Kanak1n = 4Kolenciak took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKolenciakKanakKolenciak − KanakBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match34.230.0+4.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenciakKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 180 vs 111 / 24145.6%46.1%82 / 180 vs 111 / 241Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenciakKolenciak 1.57/Kanak 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Kolenciak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LMar 8 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—5830A. Kanak—1111113
WMar 8 · 08:00I. Kolenciak—1111113A. Kanak—3460
WOct 5 · 11:00I. Kolenciak—1116113A. Kanak—91490
LSep 30 · 13:30I. Kolenciak—841171A. Kanak—11119113
WSep 30 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—11812123A. Kanak—61110111
WSep 26 · 13:20I. Kolenciak—111183A. Kanak—0970
WSep 26 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—111110113A. Kanak—791271
WSep 20 · 08:30I. Kolenciak—81111113A. Kanak—115691
I. Kolenciak10
WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851WSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.4021111113I. Palmi2.75118641WAug 7 · 12:00I. Kolenciak1.531111113I. Palmi2.388690LAug 7 · 11:30J. Toth1.911112119113I. Kolenciak1.8051481172WAug 7 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.40131012113J. Foltynek2.7511121081WAug 2 · 08:59J. Foltynek2.208380I. Kolenciak1.611111113LAug 2 · 08:30I. Kolenciak1.5011119972J. Foltynek2.50781111113LAug 2 · 07:00I. Kolenciak2.1010960M. Derco1.671211113
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113WAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113
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