TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371438
Played Aug 7Finished
Ivan Kolenciak
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116119––––
Ivo Palmi
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Kolenciak to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kolenciak above · Ivo Palmi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Kolenciak at 61.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kolenciak 7–6 Ivo Palmi Ivo Palmi has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kolenciak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenciak 1195 vs Palmi 1141
Kolenciak
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenciak 40% vs Palmi 60%
Palmi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenciak 40% vs Palmi 70%
Palmi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenciak -1 · Palmi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kolenciak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palmi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenciak 1.53 / Palmi 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kolenciak)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371438
Kolenciak1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 23 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Palmi2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenciak5wins
AwayPalmi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenciak75%3 of 4
AwayPalmi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenciak4Palmi6n = 10Palmi took 6 of 10
S2Kolenciak7Palmi3n = 10Kolenciak took 7 of 10
S3Kolenciak8Palmi2n = 10Kolenciak took 8 of 10
S4Kolenciak3Palmi4n = 7Palmi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenciakPalmiK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.835.2+3.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenciakPalmiBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 189 vs 60 / 14545.5%41.4%86 / 189 vs 60 / 145Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenciakKolenciak 1.53/Palmi 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Kolenciak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolenciak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 17 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—1091181I. Palmi—12117113
WMay 30 · 15:30I. Kolenciak—71111113I. Palmi—118881
WMay 22 · 13:30I. Kolenciak—1111113I. Palmi—8680
WMay 22 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—71111113I. Palmi—119571
LMay 16 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—118991I. Palmi—91111113
WMay 13 · 12:30I. Kolenciak—1111113I. Palmi—4840
WFeb 8 · 17:00I. Kolenciak—1111113I. Palmi—8490
LDec 2 · 13:30I. Kolenciak—138111192I. Palmi—151178113
LNov 19 · 11:30I. Kolenciak—131114792I. Palmi—1551211113
LOct 31 · 12:30I. Kolenciak—511481I. Palmi—11411113
I. Kolenciak10
WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851WSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781LSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113WAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.4021111113I. Palmi2.75118641LAug 7 · 11:30J. Toth1.911112119113I. Kolenciak1.8051481172WAug 7 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.40131012113J. Foltynek2.7511121081WAug 2 · 08:59J. Foltynek2.208380I. Kolenciak1.611111113LAug 2 · 08:30I. Kolenciak1.5011119972J. Foltynek2.50781111113LAug 2 · 07:00I. Kolenciak2.1010960M. Derco1.671211113
I. Palmi10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi1.83611691S. Blabla1.8311811113WAug 26 · 14:30A. Kanak1.67911811102I. Palmi2.10116117123LAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152LAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.4021111113I. Palmi2.75118641
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