TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082724
Played Sep 6Finished
Alois Kanak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012115119––
Ivo Palmi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlois Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlois Kanak above · Ivo Palmi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Alois Kanak at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Alois Kanak 5–5 Ivo Palmi Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1182 vs Palmi 1149
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Palmi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Palmi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +2 · Palmi +4
Palmi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palmi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.80 / Palmi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082724
Kanak1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite43% won 24 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Palmi1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanak5wins
AwayPalmi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak83.3%5 of 6
AwayPalmi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak6Palmi4n = 10Kanak took 6 of 10
S2Kanak6Palmi4n = 10Kanak took 6 of 10
S3Kanak3Palmi7n = 10Palmi took 7 of 10
S4Kanak4Palmi3n = 7Kanak took 4 of 7
S5Kanak2Palmi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKanakPalmiK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.6+0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakPalmiBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 243 vs 53 / 12946.5%41.1%113 / 243 vs 53 / 129Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.80/Palmi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 14:30A. Kanak—911811102I. Palmi—116117123
WNov 16 · 13:30A. Kanak—1112113I. Palmi—91070
WNov 8 · 14:10A. Kanak—13119763I. Palmi—118111152
LNov 8 · 12:00A. Kanak—9580I. Palmi—1111113
WNov 5 · 16:00A. Kanak—1411793I. Palmi—1271141
WSep 16 · 11:00A. Kanak—1110611113I. Palmi—81211582
LSep 12 · 16:30A. Kanak—11681192I. Palmi—411116113
WSep 9 · 13:11A. Kanak—1111153I. Palmi—98130
LSep 9 · 10:30A. Kanak—811741I. Palmi—11711113
LMar 25 · 13:30A. Kanak—10111121I. Palmi—12137113
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113WAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek1.83711751A. Kanak1.8311811113
I. Palmi10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi1.83611691S. Blabla1.8311811113WAug 26 · 14:30A. Kanak1.67911811102I. Palmi2.10116117123LAug 15 · 13:30M. Stolba1.331311108113I. Palmi3.25115121152LAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi2.50861171M. Stolba1.5011115113
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