TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013686
Played Aug 26Finished
Jiri Foltynek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118711511––
Alois Kanak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Foltynek to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Foltynek above · Alois Kanak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Foltynek at 58.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Foltynek 7–6 Alois Kanak Alois Kanak has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Foltynek 1075 vs Kanak 1104
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Foltynek 40% vs Kanak 20%
Foltynek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Foltynek 40% vs Kanak 20%
Foltynek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Foltynek -1 · Kanak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Foltynek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFoltynek 1.83 / Kanak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Foltynek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013686
Foltynek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kanak1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFoltynek7wins
AwayKanak3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFoltynek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFoltynek87.5%7 of 8
AwayKanakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Foltynek8Kanak2n = 10Foltynek took 8 of 10
S2Foltynek6Kanak4n = 10Foltynek took 6 of 10
S3Foltynek5Kanak5n = 10split evenly
S4Foltynek2Kanak6n = 8Kanak took 6 of 8
S5Foltynek4Kanak1n = 5Foltynek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFoltynekKanakF − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.5+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFoltynekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 148 vs 108 / 23740.5%45.6%60 / 148 vs 108 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FoltynekFoltynek 1.83/Kanak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Foltynek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 15:00J. Foltynek—711751A. Kanak—11811113
WOct 7 · 12:30J. Foltynek—117119113A. Kanak—91191132
LOct 5 · 13:00J. Foltynek—81113101A. Kanak—11415123
WOct 5 · 12:30J. Foltynek—111011113A. Kanak—812751
LSep 30 · 12:30J. Foltynek—11816362A. Kanak—8111411113
WSep 26 · 12:00J. Foltynek—111389103A. Kanak—911111172
WApr 28 · 21:04J. Foltynek—1112113A. Kanak—61080
WApr 28 · 19:30J. Foltynek—111199113A. Kanak—56111182
WApr 20 · 13:30J. Foltynek—1112113A. Kanak—91040
WApr 20 · 11:30J. Foltynek—117711113A. Kanak—51111992
J. Foltynek10
LSep 1 · 13:30J. Foltynek1.3061110121V. Matysek3.4011712143WSep 1 · 12:30J. Foltynek1.331111113V. Matysek3.256860LSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113WSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113LAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470LAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 14:00S. Blabla1.831191311113J. Foltynek1.8341115852WAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113WAug 15 · 12:30I. Palmi1.5011119392J. Foltynek2.50671111113LAug 15 · 11:30J. Foltynek2.63791181J. Toth1.4411116113
A. Kanak10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113WAug 26 · 16:00S. Blabla1.67841131A. Kanak2.1011119113
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